非线性不确定系统的鲁棒自适应控制方法研究及稳定性分析

针对一类存在外界干扰和未建模动态的非线性不定系统,特别是含线性定常的参数不确定性及状态关联的非线性不确定性系统,应用直接自适应控制方法,设计了基于李雅普诺夫稳定性理论的鲁棒自适应控制律和修正律;应用李雅普诺夫稳定判据,对系统的稳定性进行了分析,证明所设计的控制律和修正律具有较强的鲁棒稳定性。     

基于多层次特征的高分影像海岸带地物分类

针对高分辨率影像地物光谱丰富复杂的问题，文章提出了一种结合像元-对象-空间格局特征的水域、盐田等海岸带精细地物分类方法。首先基于像元和空间格局特征分别利用遗传算法优化随机森林参数进行分类；其次将两种分类结果采用D-S证据理论融合；然后基于不同地物斑块的空间上下文信息，采用粒子群算法优化支持向量机（Support Vector Machine，SVM）参数实现面向对象的二次分类。为验证方法的有效性，收集山东省莱州湾海岸带附近区域的“高分二号”卫星影像，开展了水域及水利设施用地、盐田、工矿用地、交通运输用地、住宅用地、沿海滩涂、海域与耕地8类地物的分类实验，总体精度达到97.21%，Kappa系数为0.964 2。实验结果表明，文章提出的高分影像海岸带地物分类方法兼顾像元、对象及空间格局特征优点，能够实现多层次细致分类，并同时兼具较短的训练时长与较高的分类精度。该研究成果可为中国海岸带生态环境监测与土地利用规划提供一定技术支撑。     

Compressor geometric uncertainty quantification under conditions from near choke to near stall

Geometric and working condition uncertainties are inevitable in a compressor, deviating the compressor performance from the design value. It’s necessary to explore the influence of geometric uncertainty on performance deviation under different working conditions. In this paper, the geometric uncertainty influences at near stall, peak efficiency, and near choke conditions under design speed and low speed are investigated. Firstly, manufacturing geometric uncertainties are analyzed. Next, correlation models between geometry and performance under different working conditions are constructed based on a neural network. Then the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method is introduced to explain the output of the neural network. Results show that under real manufacturing uncertainty, the efficiency deviation range is small under the near stall and peak efficiency conditions. However, under the near choke conditions, efficiency is highly sensitive to flow capacity changes caused by geometric uncertainty, leading to a significant increase in the efficiency deviation amplitude, up to a magnitude of ?3.6%. Moreover, the tip leading-edge radius and tip thickness are two main factors affecting efficiency deviation. Therefore, to reduce efficiency uncertainty, a compressor should be avoided working near the choke condition, and the tolerances of the tip leading-edge radius and tip thickness should be strictly controlled.     

Optimal crater landmark selection based on optical navigation performance factors for planetary landing

Planetary craters are natural navigation landmarks that widely exist and are easily observed. Optical navigation based on crater landmarks has become an important autonomous navigation method for planetary landing. Due to the increase in observed crater landmarks and the limitation of onboard computation, the selection of good crater landmarks has gradually become a research hotspot in the field of landmark-based optical navigation. This paper designs a fast crater landmark selection method, which not only considers the configuration observability of crater subsets but also focuses on the influence on navigation performance arising from the measurement uncertainty and the matching confidence of craters, which is different from other landmark selection methods. The factor of measurement uncertainty, which is anisotropic, correlated and nonidentically distributed, is quantified and integrated into selection based on crater pairing detection and localization error evaluation. In addition, the concept of the crater matching confidence factor is introduced, which reflects the possibility of 2D projection measurements corresponding to 3D positions. Combined with the configuration observability factor, the crater landmark selection indicator is formed. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by Monte Carlo simulations.     

导弹装备测试性数据相关性分析研究

针对目前装备使用阶段测试性数据来源于专家信息这类存在不确定性因素的信息,会直接影响测试性验证结论的准确性和完整性。为了增加测试性数据的可信度,基于导弹装备使用阶段测试性数据,提出了灰色关联分析的方法流程,对数据进行相关性分析。结果表明,基于灰色关联算法的数据相关性分析方法能得到测试性数据可信度程度,并挖掘出测试性指标间潜在的关联规律,能丰富专家信息,有助于提高验证准确度。     

于不确定性与重要度的改进DSmT健康状态评估

针对目前健康状态评估准确度不高、客观性不强的问题,引入评估指标的不确定性和重要度,提出一种基于不确定性和重要度的改进DSmT（Dezert Smarandache theory）健康状态评估方法.首先,引入指标不确定性和重要度作为加权因子,能够得到比较合理的指标权重；其次,采用模糊综合评判方法,通过构造三角形梯形隶属度函数确定各指标的广义基本信度赋值；然后,基于指标权重对广义基本信度赋值进行改进DSmT融合,得到各指标的广义基本信度赋值加权融合后的评估结果；最后,以某供电系统为例进行了实例验证,结果表明该方法能够赋予各评估指标较合理的权重,健康状态评估结果与系统实际运行状态相符.      

顾及不确定性分析的多数投票 SAR 影像变化检测

合成孔径雷达（Synthetic Aperture Radar，SAR）影像变化检测是遥感领域的一个重要研究方向。文章以投票法（Majority Voting，MV）为基础，提出一种全新的顾及不确定性分析的SAR影像变化检测方法（Uncertainty Analysis-based MV，UAMV）。首先选取三组典型的差分影像生成算法，生成三组互补的差分影像。然后使用模糊C均值聚类估算每组差分影像的关于变化类和未变化类的模糊隶属度函数。最后用模糊集合和信息熵理论优化MV，构建顾及不确定性分析的多数投票法，并用所构建方法融合三组差分影像的模糊隶属度函数，生成变化检测图。为验证文章方法的有效性，通过三组真实SAR影像数据进行实验分析。实验结果表明：1）通过用信息熵分析MV融合过程中的不确定性，能够显著提高MV的变化检测性能；2）与7种现有相关算法相比，UAMV方法能够取得更优的变化检测结果。该研究为SAR影像变化检测提供一种新的思路和方法。     

压气机叶片加工误差影响不确定分析

为了正确评估加工误差的影响，提出了一种考虑加工误差大小、分布随机性的数值研究方法以实现叶片性能不确定性分析。采用NURBS(非均匀有理B样条) 方法实现叶型参数化，通过检测及统计手段获取误差真实分布，运用蒙特卡洛模拟生成随机样本，并训练Kriging代理模型进行不确定性分析，得到了叶片加工误差对气动性能的影响。结果表明:加工误差对气动性能的影响与所处工况有关，最高使得损失增加0.853%；叶型性能对于吸力面表面型线更为敏感，在加工及检测过程应给予更高要求。      

卫星双向时间频率传递研究进展

介绍了卫星双向时间频率传递的基本原理和技术演进,重点论述了基于伪码相位测量的卫星双向时间频率传递方法及其误差来源,阐述了双伪码卫星双向时频传递技术、载波相位卫星双向时频传递技术和卫星双向 日波动效应等重点研究方向的最新进展.针对制约卫星双向时间频率传递技术性能提升的主要问题,给出了相关发展思考.